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UNITED LAUNCH ALLIANCE · VEHICLE PROFILE · DATA AS OF 2026-05-14

Vulcan Centaur

Operational Expendable Heavy
4
Flights
Success / Partial / Failure
100.00%
Success Rate
4/4 flights
Fleet Leader
No booster telemetry
Feb 12, 2026
Cadence
Last completed flight

RELIABILITY & S/PF/F SPLIT

100.00%
Overall success rate · Wilson 95% LB 51.01%
4
Success
0
Partial Failure
0
Failure
0
Scrubbed
Days since last failureNo recorded failures
Current success streak4
Last completed flightFeb 12, 2026
Methodology IP
S/PF/F split is non-negotiable methodology. Partial failures are NOT collapsed into failures. A partial (e.g. payload delivered to wrong orbit, booster lost on otherwise-successful flight) is treated as a distinct outcome for underwriting. See /methodology/.

RECENT FLIGHTS

Date Mission Payload Outcome
Feb 12, 2026 Hornet 7 — · 27,200 kg Success
Aug 13, 2025 NTS 3 — · 27,200 kg Success
Oct 04, 2024 CERT-2 Payload — · 27,200 kg Success
Jan 08, 2024 Peregrine — · 27,200 kg Success

View all flights in the main tracker →

PAYLOAD & ORBIT MIX

108.8K kg
Total mass lifted
Most-flown orbit
0% gov
Gov / commercial split
0
Crewed flights

OPERATOR CONTEXT

OperatorUnited Launch Alliance
Fleet success rate100.00%
Total fleet launches2
Vehicles operated3

Open operator financial profile →

REGISTRY DATA

First flight2024-01-08
Registry launches3 (as of 2025-12-31)
ClassHeavy
Height62 m
Fairing diameter5.4 m
First-stage propellantmethalox
ReusabilityExpendable

Source: space_launch_vehicle_registry.json · Operator page →

METHODOLOGY

Per-vehicle reliability is aggregated from the AstraVeris launch_events table with Wilson 95% lower-bound error estimates. Subsystem outcomes are extracted by a local Gemma model from primary-source articles — outcomes are never fabricated; absence of a row means "not tracked". Aspirational vehicles (not yet flown) carry registry-only metadata with explicit "Not yet flown" banners. Full specifications: /methodology/. Licensing terms: /data-licensing/.

Not investment advice. For insurance underwriting, verify against operator investigation reports.