SPACEX · VEHICLE PROFILE · DATA AS OF 2026-10-27
Falcon 9 (all variants)
Operational
First-stage reusable
Medium
585
Flights
Success / Partial / Failure
99.49%
Success Rate
582/585 flights
37×
Fleet Leader
B1067
Oct 23, 2026
Cadence
Last completed flight
RELIABILITY & S/PF/F SPLIT
99.49%
Overall success rate · Wilson 95% LB 98.50%
582
Success
1
Partial Failure
2
Failure
0
Scrubbed
Days since last failure837 days
Current success streak258
Last completed flightOct 23, 2026
Methodology IP
S/PF/F split is non-negotiable methodology. Partial failures are NOT collapsed into failures. A partial (e.g. payload delivered to wrong orbit, booster lost on otherwise-successful flight) is treated as a distinct outcome for underwriting. See /methodology/.
REUSE CURVE
Success rate by booster flight number — how this vehicle's flight-proven stages perform across reuses. Lower Wilson bound included for low-N flight counts.
| Flight | N | S / PF / F | Breakdown | Success | Wilson LB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flight 1 | 76 | 74 / 1 / 1 | 97.4% | 90.9% | |
| Flight 2 | 47 | 47 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 92.4% | |
| Flight 3 | 37 | 37 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 90.6% | |
| Flight 4 | 25 | 25 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 86.7% | |
| Flight 5 | 26 | 26 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 87.1% | |
| Flight 6 | 23 | 23 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 85.7% | |
| Flight 7 | 23 | 23 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 85.7% | |
| Flight 8 | 19 | 19 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 83.2% | |
| Flight 9 | 23 | 23 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 85.7% | |
| Flight 10 | 20 | 20 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 83.9% | |
| Flight 11 | 20 | 20 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 83.9% | |
| Flight 12 | 19 | 19 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 83.2% | |
| Flight 13 | 18 | 18 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 82.4% | |
| Flight 14 | 16 | 16 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 80.6% | |
| Flight 15 | 15 | 15 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 79.6% | |
| Flight 16 | 19 | 19 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 83.2% | |
| Flight 17 | 14 | 14 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 78.5% | |
| Flight 18 | 11 | 11 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 74.1% | |
| Flight 19 | 12 | 11 / 0 / 1 | 91.7% | 64.6% | |
| Flight 20 | 10 | 10 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 72.2% | |
| Flight 21 | 11 | 11 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 74.1% | |
| Flight 22 | 7 | 7 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 64.6% | |
| Flight 23 | 8 | 8 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 67.6% | |
| Flight 24 | 6 | 6 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 61.0% | |
| Flight 25 | 6 | 6 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 61.0% | |
| Flight 26 | 5 | 5 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 56.6% | |
| Flight 27 | 5 | 5 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 56.6% | |
| Flight 28 | 6 | 6 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 61.0% | |
| Flight 29 | 3 | 3 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 43.8% | |
| Flight 30 | 4 | 4 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 51.0% | |
| Flight 31 | 2 | 2 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 34.2% | |
| Flight 32 | 2 | 2 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 34.2% | |
| Flight 33 | 3 | 3 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 43.8% | |
| Flight 34 | 3 | 3 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 43.8% | |
| Flight 35 | 2 | 2 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 34.2% | |
| Flight 36 | 2 | 2 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 34.2% | |
| Flight 37 | 1 | 1 / 0 / 0 | 100.0% | 20.7% |
Fleet Leader
B1067 · 37 flights. Registry: B1067 flight 26+.
Low-N caveat: 16 reuse bucket(s) have fewer than 10 flights. Point estimates should be read alongside the Wilson lower bound.
SUBSYSTEM RELIABILITY
Per-system success rates aggregated across all flights with recorded subsystem outcomes. Systems without a row are "not tracked for this vehicle yet" — we never fabricate success.
Booster Recovery
100%
S 3 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 3
Fairing Separation
100%
S 1 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 1
Landing System
100%
S 2 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 2
Main Engine
100%
S 3 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 3
Payload Deploy
100%
S 3 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 3
Stage Separation
100%
S 2 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 2
Vacuum Engine
100%
S 2 · PS 0 · F 0 · N 2
RECENT FLIGHTS
| Date | Mission | Payload | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Starlink Group 15-15 | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bandwagon 5 (Dedicated Mid-Inclination Rideshare) | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 16, 2026 | USSF-xxx ("TH-2") | SSO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Dragon CRS-2 SpX-35 | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Starlink Group 15-25 | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SDA Tranche 1 Transport Layer A | SSO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) | SSO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Crew-13 | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | USSF-xxx ("R-3") | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Starlink Group 15-27 | LEO · 22,800 kg | Success |
PAYLOAD & ORBIT MIX
13.3M kg
Total mass lifted
LEO
Most-flown orbit
0% gov
Gov / commercial split
1
Crewed flights
LEO60 (87.0%)
SSO8 (11.6%)
MEO1 (1.4%)
OPERATOR CONTEXT
OperatorSpaceX
Fleet success rate97.54%
Total fleet launches651
Vehicles operated35
REGISTRY DATA
First flight2018-05-11
Registry launches584 (as of 2025-12-31)
ClassMedium
Height70 m
Fairing diameter5.2 m
First-stage propellantkerolox
ReusabilityFirst-stage reusable
Recovery methodsRTLS, ASDS, expendable
First recovery success2015-12-21
Booster naming\bB1\d{3}(?:-\d{1,2})?\b
List price$67.0M
Payload capacity (kg)
LEO22,800 kg
GTO8,300 kg
LEO (reusable)17,400 kg
GTO (reusable)5,500 kg
Source: space_launch_vehicle_registry.json · Operator page →
METHODOLOGY
Per-vehicle reliability is aggregated from the AstraVeris launch_events table with Wilson 95% lower-bound error estimates. Subsystem outcomes are extracted by a local Gemma model from primary-source articles — outcomes are never fabricated; absence of a row means "not tracked". Aspirational vehicles (not yet flown) carry registry-only metadata with explicit "Not yet flown" banners. Full specifications: /methodology/. Licensing terms: /data-licensing/.
Not investment advice. For insurance underwriting, verify against operator investigation reports.