Stoke Space
Full rocket reusability (both stages). Differential throttling heat shield for second-stage recovery. Backed by Breakthrough Energy Ventures.
FINANCIAL HEALTH
SCHEDULE CREDIBILITY
How well this operator historically meets its own projected dates — launch NETs, company-announced roadmap milestones, and forward-dated facility plans. 100 = says what it does. Discount forward guidance accordingly.
| Source | Events | Late (share) | Median slip | Median slip, late only | Sub-score | On-time allowance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roadmap milestones | 2 | 1 (50%) | 80.5 d | 161 d | 59.3 | 30 d |
WORST SLIPS (RECEIPTS)
| Commitment | Source | Announced | Outcome | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenith full-scale upper stage engine testing campaign (Stoke Nova) completed | Roadmap milestones | 2025 | 2026-06-10 | 161 d |
SCI = 100 × Σ(event credit) ÷ N over the trailing 36 months (2023-07-29 → 2026-07-28). Event credit = 1.0 when the commitment met its announced date (launches: net NET slip < 1 day; roadmap milestones & facility plans: within 30 days of the announced target window — month/year-precision targets count the whole period as on-time), else 30 ÷ (30 + days late beyond that allowance). Sources are pooled, so each source weighs by its event count. Sources: launch NET-change log (LL2 ingest, tracked since 2026-04-17; flown launches in coverage + not-yet-flown launches already slipped ≥1 day; cancelled launches excluded), roadmap registry milestones (company-announced targets, verified provenance only; open milestones past target count as late by days-overdue), facility_plans rows with target_date after announced_at (filing-dated rows excluded). Confidence: high ≥20 events, medium ≥8, low ≥5; no score below 5 events. 100 = says what it does.
Window: 2023-07-29 → 2026-07-28 (36 months) · launch NET log live since 2026-04-17
FLEET COMPOSITION
Every vehicle this operator has flown. Linked profiles carry the full reliability + reuse + subsystem record.
| Vehicle | Class | Launches | Success rate | Reuse | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova | Medium | 2 | 100.0% | Fully reusable | Profile → |
RECENT LAUNCHES
ACTIVE TEST CAMPAIGNS
Pre-flight test events grouped by campaign. Underwriters read this section for anomaly record and readiness signal ahead of a first flight.
| Campaign | Vehicle | Tests | Success rate | Categories | Last test | Most recent anomaly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (uncampaigned) | Nova | 2 | 100% | Engine, Hop | Jun 11, 2024 | — |
SECTOR POSITION
RECENT COVERAGE
| Date | Source | Headline |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Payload Space | Breaking Down the $686B Space Economy |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Payload Space | DoD Adds $11.4B to NatSec Launch Contracts |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Ars Technica — Space | Will Russia's answer to the Falcon 9 rocket ever take flight? |
| Jul 09, 2026 | Ars Technica — Space | Payloads used to dictate the terms of launch. That's finally changing. |
| Jul 08, 2026 | TechCrunch — Space | Former OpenAI exec Kevin Weil is now on the board of Stoke Space |
REGISTRY DATA
Source: space_company_registry.json · Operator homepage → · Stoke Space corporate homepage — confirms Nova fully-reusable medium-lift vehicle and company HQ in Kent, Washington.
METHODOLOGY
Launch history and subsystem outcomes aggregate from AstraVeris's launch_events table with Wilson 95% lower bounds on success rates. ARI scores come from the 11-factor composite (/finance/methodology/). Constellation counts derive from the live CelesTrak/GCAT object catalog. Gov contracts from USAspending.gov awards; private deals from deduplicated pipeline deal extraction. Absence of a row means "not tracked" — we never fabricate. See /methodology/ for the full data model and /data-licensing/ for licensing terms.
Not investment advice. For insurance underwriting, verify against primary-source filings and operator investigation reports.